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Re: 升中選校秘笈及填表方程式?
cymummy 寫道:
有事想請教, 今日明報刊登了下表, 就SSP區而言, 升中小六生為3,495人,但我將”選校一覽表-SSP區”中所提供之學額加起來,只得2,353+271=2,624人, 咁係咪;即係有871人(3,495 – 2,624 ) 已於自行收生階段成功左呀, 而真正需要進行大抽獎的就只是2,624人呀?
我又從”選校一覽表-SSP區”算出, 供不是聯繫學生的英中學額有704人即 <575人(本區) + 129人(他區)>, 咁就進行大抽獎的2,624人中, 將佢除以3, 即估計是875人是band one 生, 再扣除埋聯繫學生的196人, 即679人, 咁即係所有band one生都分到英中學位, 但應該無咁著數家喎, 唔知我在那裡估計錯誤呢? 請指教!
I like your quantitative approach and I replicate in HK East as well. Here is my findings:
You guessed 871 students are accepted either in DP or through DSS scheme is correct. E.g. 1384 in HKE, and HKE has 28 Schools * 60 students = 1680, pretty close.
Your second questions about 2624/3 = 875 in Band one is correct, but you can't minus 196 associated schools seats directly, unless all 196 are band one seats. I doubt it. In HKE 3058/3 = 1029 for Band one, Band one EMI Asso Schools = 74 (BPS + SKWGSS + QC) (out of 204), so 955 band one students compete (lucky draw) for 604 seats (deducted the Asso Schools seats already). Therefore the chance is 604/955 = 63%. |
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