Predicted Grade

ChiChiPaPa

HKDSE中文和通識考試是否不太穩定可靠?因此,學校的中文和通識科的predicted grade的意義不大,對否?聽聞IB的predicted grade就可靠很多。

penguin_chick

IB 的 predicted grade 是老師依IB機構的規定，根據學生的表現而評估的等級，受大學認可，以此作為大學取錄學生的初步依據。
DSE的老師無需predict 學生的grade，但部份老師仍會predict 學生的grade,作為鼓勵或督促學生之用，並無正式作用。

ANChan59

DSE PG 沒有監管，點估都得 ... 難分真與假！

IBO 有跟蹤呈報 PG 跟 AG 的差異，高估抑或低估，是有記錄。好似 ESF 是少數學校有報告每年誤差，依稀記得是 0.35，不是好大誤差。

Yanamami

我諗考中文通識可能比英文通識更难估？

ChiChiPaPa

http://www.qualiedcollege.edu.hk/CustomPage/24/CareersGuidancePartE.pdf

我的理解是predicted HKDSE grade對報英國和加拿大的大學有用。上述連結中講轉制的文件中的第五頁都有話學校給的reference letter應有可靠的predicted grade。

學校應不會隨意給predicted grade 吧,因它會影響學生升學。

ChiChiPaPa

會不會是政府對自己的考試的穩定性也不是太有信心?因此不學IB般,對predicted HKDSE grade作比較和監察,避免到頭來發覺actual grade不準確或不穩定,又或是actual grade和predicted grade都不準。

annie40

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LPC 的誤差也是o.35pct, PG凖繩度極高。

annie40

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DSE的制度和人力資源做不到。

annie40

IBO對IB schools有極其嚴謹的監察制度，IB老師對校內孩子的校內功課和考試評分，需要交功課和試卷與IBO，他們會隨機抽出每個grade的評卷，例如值5分的被批為6分，這所學校孩子在6分區的，便全部自動下調至grade 5了。換上情况是校內評5分，IBO發現水平是6分,亦會相對地提高全組孩子的成績。

如果老師有清晰的評估能力，根本不會冒險放水，把一兩個孩子的分數提高而累街坊吧。

最終成就了誤差奇低，信譽奇高的PG了。

ANChan59

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香港學校提供的DSE的PG是沒有監察，一般都會高估，點會低估，估錯冇乜後果，又不怕被家長鬧。

加拿大不熟悉，英國大學不會按PG收生，多數只會出CO，唔怕你亂吹，最後都是按真正成績收生。幾年過來，DSE，PG準備性成疑，不一定是學校問題，亦可能是公開試的制度及評估方法的問題！

ANChan59

annie40 發表於 15-8-16 09:40
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LPC 的誤差也是o.35pct, PG凖繩度極高。

lBO的PG監察制度行之有效

ANChan59

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我傾向相信兩者都不準！

Artie

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IB PG is based on internal assessments + teachers prediction of what student might get as a final grade. IBO has guidelines to teachers so they well know how to give PG to students. There will definitely be uncertainties but IB PG is generally considered fair prediction of students' final grades.
Canadian high school students are generally not writing any public exams. Canadian universities therefore have always been using internal grades for admission purpose. Most universities ask for up to 4 years of high school grades. Students from other curriculum (including from IB, or DSE, or AL) will also have to submit 4 years of high school transcripts. Thus, IB PG would not be the only information they consider. Most of the time, the offers from canadian universities are conditional offers.

I have spoken to an admission professor of a very top engineering program of a canadian university. They are known to have very high admission threshold within Canada. He said that they have a special database keeping track of grades of students they have taken. The database has information of (1) internal grades (2) PG and final grades (for students doing IB etc) (3) grades of freshman year classes. These information will be used as reference material in the future. So they are totally aware which high schools tend to blow up their internal grades and PG.

ANChan59

Thanks for your sharing.

cstchan

Students apply university can be as early as in September.  IBO collect the predicted grade before the examination.  The two predicted grades can be different!