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As we discussed, ISF needs to prove itself in the next few years relating its univ placement.. But personally I am not too worried about this (and I really hope that I am right).. It is the quality of the students who matter in the public exams.. As long as the school can attract the best breed of students, there is a good chance that they will flare well in the exams.. Then the next question is whether ISF can attract good students... The reason I have been spending time on this school is because their program does sound very interesting to me (and hopefully this would apply to some other parents as well)... While I want to kids to study in a more "internationalized" and "open" environment, I really dont want to compromise the Chinese speaking / writing skills of my kids... and this is the only reason I am considering the ISF.. While other IS like HKIS, GSIS, etc have very good univ placement records, honestly the Chinese language skills of their students are not up to my expectation at all (or to be fair to those schools, a big portion of their students will go back to their home countries to work when they grow up, so whether having good Chinese language skills may not matter to them at all)..
On the downside risk on the Cap Note, I am not too much concerned with it... Price is determined by demand and supply of the goods... The school is the "only" supplier of new Cap Notes, to put it in a blunt way, they can "make" the market by controlling the number of new Cap Note to be issued... On the demand side, I think the demand would continue to grow on two counts.. First, the school is still a relatively young school and their size would continue to grow as they expand.. as long as parents like their program, I dont see why their new capacity cant be met with additional demand.. Second (and perhaps even a bigger factor) is the demand from the wealthy PRC immigrants.. Honestly I think the ISF offerings would be appealing to them as traditional PRC families wont want their kids to turn into a "Gweilo" or "Gweil-mui" when they grow up... And dont forget, it is this group of people who can easily spend hundreds of millions of dollars to spend expensive houses in HK.. and spending a couple of millions to buy a debenture for their kids is just a drop in their buckets... So if you ask me, I think the downside risk on the Cap Note price is limited...
原帖由 thankful 於 09-11-30 01:08 發表 
Don't get me wrong, I am not biased against ISF either. It's just that something doesn't quite add up. As you said, $1.6M is a lot of money to many people. We ought to think carefully before makin ... |
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