會唔會一間都唔收?

iantsang

I guess that include both you and me?  

Basically around 40% of locally born children are from mainland China so that would give an idea the approx. number.  Actually I remember reading the exact number of total students enrolled in HK kindergarten somewhere....  hope to able to share if I have time to find it again.

At the end, this is what really happen:

(1) Birth rate has risen, that's the fact;

(2) With the increasing number of children born, and parents applying more kindergarten per child, that means competition increase in a rate much higher than the birth rate;

(3) The unfortunate fact from my observation is: some common characteristics which is more welcome by majority of the kindergarten would mean these kids would get many offers, which in turn means other kids' chance to get first round acceptance would be very very low.  As elmolly  mentioned, don't be disappointed of not getting first round offers, a lot of places would be released at a much later time (June to August).

Good luck to the 2008 babies' parents (including myself)!  

Ian

原帖由 sheffield 於 10-10-28 17:05 發表
其實仲有好多呢，我認識的都很多沒有報ST cat…08年有7.88萬個bb出世…有d未必係香港讀書，就算有大部份都係只求就手唔求名校，都應該超過1萬人會去爭名校位掛… ...

iantsang

Some reference information for the past few years:

2009/10 K1 students total: 47,109 (2006 birth count = 65,600) 72% of birth count enter K1 in HK
2008/09 K1 students total: 45,236 (2005 birth count = 57,100) 79% of birth count enter K1 in HK

2009/10 K2 students total: 47,403
2008/09 K2 students total: 46,149

Based on roughly 75% for estimation:
Birth count for 2007 = 70,900 (est. K1 intake = 53,175)
Birth count for 2008 = 78,800 (est. K1 intake = 59,100)
Birth count for 2009 = 82,100 (est. K1 intake = 61,575)

Worth noticing is there are total 950 kindergartens in HK.  Even if I assume average minimum 60 students (very conservative number!!! i.e. just 2 K1 classes per year) there are already capacity for 57,000 students.  If I add additional one class capacity, then the number will be 85,500, well cover the birth count even if all the mainland babies come back to HK to go to kindergarten.


For more details, please visit the Census and Statistics Dept. website:

http://www.edb.gov.hk/index.aspx?langno=2&nodeid=1037

Birth count:
http://www.censtatd.gov.hk/hong_kong_statistics/statistical_tables/index_tc.jsp?tableID=004&ID=&subjectID=1

[ 本帖最後由 iantsang 於 10-10-29 10:31 編輯 ]