教育王國

標題: 供與求的問題 [打印本頁]

作者: skmibb 時間: 12-10-26 15:25 標題: 供與求的問題

為何咁多bk家長都話in幾多就reject幾多？究竟直資+私小合供多少個位？本屆適齡兒童又有多少？

作者: Charlotte_mom 時間: 12-10-26 16:22

無研究, 不過而家十幾廿人爭一個位已經好普通(什至唔係一線名校), 因為好既學校好多人報, 而叻既學生又可能考到好多間, 所以其他家長難免失望了

作者: onepiece 時間: 12-10-26 17:55 標題: 回覆：供與求的問題

剛剛check咗小學概覧，全港有38間私小、21間直資，估計提供學位近萬，而學童有四萬幾，即是話私小直資能提供超過5分1學位給孩子。由於官津唔洗錢，有好多人又有姐姐哥哥讀緊或有25分，估計考私小而又真係會讀的未必有3萬，所以實際供求比率可能是1：2~1：3。
但點解現在好似間間都1：10~1：50呢? 原因是大家覺得每間機會率低，於是越報越多，人人報8~12 間，3萬人就變成30萬人次！！於是就出現這種1：10~1：50的假象，辛苦了孩子，又煩了學校。

作者: Laputa 時間: 12-10-26 18:03

Per 2011 annual digest, in 2010, there are 70875 babies born in 2007
in 2010, there are 6,722 private and DSS P.1 students

Assume 90% of child apply for TSL and this year we have 5000 applications, so the no. of children apply DSS and private school is around 5,555

Assume 50% successful applicants has 1 offer, 30% has 2 offers, 15% has 3 offers and 5% has 4 offers (no scientific ground to support this distribution) and number of seats available are same as 2010

there are only 3850 successful applicants with one or more offers during the 'first round'., so the successful rate is 69% and therefore every 3 out of 10 children will have no offers

But actually there are more seats than applicants, based on the assumption above

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